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Market 2018-02-01 (EBAY & PYPL, BABA, UPS, and more)

战胜市场 20天前 46

Market today: Tech down, Treasury down, Dollar down.

Treasury: 30-year -1.28%. 10-yr -0.49%. 5-yr -0.22%. 10-year note jumps to 2.78%.

Commodities: Crude +2.18% to $66.14. Gold +0.74% to $1,353.10.

The timing I mentioned yesterday happens again. Selling happened @ 1:30 pm and 3:00 pm.

Winners

EBAY +13.8% to all-time high after strong ER. Ebay is dropping PayPal (PYPL -8.1%) as its payment processor. Netherlands-based Adyen will gradually take PayPal's spot beginning this year, and will handle a majority of transactions in 2021.

FB +3.3% also reached all-time high today after strong ER and bright future. Analysts are convinced by the growing Ad price, and raising their PT.

Defense stocks are doing well today, for instance, GD +1.2%, LMT +0.7%....

Financial stocks are also performing well. GS +1.6%, MS +1.6%, BAC +1.6%, JPM +1%, C +0.9%..

Macau gross gaming revenue increased 36.4% in January, according to the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau. LVS +0.9%, WYNN +3%, MGM +1%.

T +4.6% jumps after ER.

Losers

BABA -5.9% after reporting Q3 EPS of $1.63 misses by $0.04. Revenue of $12.76B (+51.5% Y/Y) beats by $400M. FY18 guidance was increased to a growth of 55% to 56% (was: 49% to 53%), which would represent a range of about $245.3B to $246.9B (consensus: $242.6B). Alibaba delivers solid ER and guidance, I believe the selloff is profit-taking. Other Chinese Tech stocks are also affected negatively. I will initiate my position if the selloff continues.

UPS -6.1% takes a hit despite ER beats. The company plans to make more than $12B in investments to expand its logistics network, increase pension funding and position the company to "further enhance share owner value." Investors were expecting a dividend hike, which may trigger the selloff. This is also a buying opportunity.

SQ -5.2%, dragged down by PayPal.

QCOM -2.1% despite ER beats, amid light guidance --- Q2 guidance: Revenue, $4.8-5.6B (consensus: $5.57B); EPS, $0.65-0.75 (consensus: $0.86).

CMG -3.1%, amid a downgrade to Sell from UBS with $290 PT.

REITs plunge as treasury yields surge, IYR -1.7%, O -3%, MAA -3.8%, OHI -3%...

Guess (GES -17.7%) plunges a tweet from supermodel Kate Upton "MeToo" moment against their creative director.

AH Earnings

Amazon (AMZN -4.3%) Q4 EPS of $3.75 easily beats consensus of $1.83. Revenue of $60.45B (+38.2% Y/Y) beats by $620M (Note: revenue number includes WholeFoods this year). Guidance from Amazon was roughly in-line at Q1 revenue of $47.75B to $48.71B vs. $48.7B consensus. Shares +6.3% in AH.

Apple (AAPL +0.2%): Q1 EPS of $3.89 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $88.3B (+12.7% Y/Y) beats by $670M. Downside Q2 guidance: revenue, $60-62B (consensus: $65.62B) Shares reverse from red to green now in AH.

Alphabet (GOOG -0.2%): Q4 EPS of $9.70 misses by $0.37. Revenue of $32.32B (+24.0% Y/Y) beats by $440M. Board authorizes the company to buy back up to $8.6B of Class C stock. Shares erase early loss in AH.

Amgen (AMGN -0.3%): Q4 EPS of $2.89 misses by $0.14. Revenue of $5.8B (-2.7% Y/Y) misses by $30M. Shares -3.5% in AH.

Tableau Software (DATA +0.4%): Q4 EPS of $0.12 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $249.4M (-0.5% Y/Y) beats by $8.72M. Shares +14% in AH.

GoPro (GPRO +0.5%): Q4 EPS of -$0.30 misses by $0.19. Revenue of $334.8M (-38.1% Y/Y) misses by $5.28M. Shares -4%. It is dead to me.

Deckers Outdoor (DECK +1.8%): Q3 EPS of $4.97 beats by $1.15. Revenue of $810.48M (+6.6% Y/Y) beats by $62.07M. Shares +7.7% in AH. Well, UGG is doing well in winter.

Mattel (MAT -3.3%): Q4 EPS of -$0.72 misses by $0.89. Revenue of $1.61B (-12.0% Y/Y) misses by $80M. Shares -8.2%. The company should sell itself.

Visa (V +1.2%): Q1 EPS of $1.08 beats by $0.10. Revenue of $4.86B (+9.0% Y/Y) beats by $20M. No surprise after Master Card (MA) beat this morning. However, shares -1.8% in AH.

My Trades Today


  • Added more CELG and O.
  • Initiated position in UPS @ $118.8.

Earnings Tomorrow


  • pre-market: AZN, CHTR, CVX, EL, MRK, WETF, WFT, XOM




source: defeat market


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